Table 5 Financial operation of pension fund (“20% to 100% couples that satisfy the selective two-policy” have the second child)
Case | Point that deficit appears | Point that cumulative deficit appears | Cumulative deficit in 2090 (billion yuan) | Changing of cumulative deficit in 2090 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
One-child policy | 2023–2037, 2059–2090 | 2076–2090 | 422,365.195 | — |
13% of qualified couples have second child | 2023–2037, 2060–2090 | 2079–2090 | 322,864.423 | –23.56 |
20% of qualified couples have second child | 2023–2037, 2062–2090 | 2081–2090 | 268,588.514 | –36.41 |
40% of qualified couples have second child | 2023–2037, 2068–2090 | 2087–2090 | 109,237.064 | –74.14 |
50% of qualified couples have second child | 2023–2037, 2070–2090 | 2089–2090 | 27,177.871 | –93.57 |
60% of qualified couples have second child | 2023–2037, 2073–2090 | — | –56,475.435 | –113.37 |
80% of qualified couples have second child | 2023–2037, 2078–2090 | — | –228,579.784 | –154.12 |
All qualified couples have second child | 2023–2037, 2082–2090 | — | –407,106.786 | –196.39 |